A 15 Minute Swing Technicals Strategy

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A 15 Minute Swing Technicals Strategy

The proposed 15-minute strategy is perfect for beginners who traditionally prefer short-term intraday deals. Just one indicator, minimum knowledge of candlestick analysis and simple trading recommendations allow almost anyone to earn – not much, but steadily.

Scalping attracts novice traders as a magnet to the detriment of technical analysis and risk control. You can accept the fact that it’s difficult for beginners to master a mass of indicators, but even a basic understanding of candlestick analysis can generate a regular income. If you can find a stable working scalping strategy on time, the trading account has a good chance to “survive” while its master trader gets technical knowledge and practical experience.

This 15-minute strategy stands out among the various scalping systems because it was specially designed to work with popular currency pairs on short timeframes.

Indicators and mathematics of the strategy

The method is based on using a combination of standard candlestick analysis with a high degree of reliability. Only a simple exponential moving average of closing prices with period 9 (for M15 period) is used as an indicator of the direction of the trend, and then the current candles location relative to the moving is analyzed.

Now we need to define a “free candle”, which became the basis of this 15-minute strategy. This is considered to be a fully formed 15-minute candle, body and shadows of which do not touch the built moving average, despite the fact that its closing price is above the previous high for the uptrend or below the previous low for the downtrend market. On a real chart, such candles appear quite often and give good entry points.

“Free” candle should have the most regular form (medium body + medium shadows) – standard reversal patterns like “Hammer”, “Doji”, as well as the gap situation are not used for analysis.

Important: the body of the “free” candle can be long enough, i.e. significantly deviate from the average, so it can be dangerous to enter – sometimes you should ignore most of the signals.

Use in trading

All the major currency pairs are recommended for work – EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, GBP/USD – and major crosses: EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY. You should better work during European and US session – the Asian volatility may not be enough.

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We’ll show the mechanics of trading at the most stable period – 15 minutes, but you can actually try larger timeframe as well. We’ll take quite a volatile pair – for example, EUR/JPY. First of all, we define the general direction of the trend – by EMA(9): bullish or bearish. Then analyze the candles location relative to the line, looking for free candles.

Thus, according to the strategy:

For bullish direction, closing price must be higher than the previous max, for bearish – below the previous low.

To go long (buy) on the 15-minute strategy, you need a “free” (white) candle located above the moving average line. Once the next candle is opened – enter at the market price, but you can also place pending order BuyStop just above the closing price of the previous candle.

StopLoss is recommended to set 3-5 points below the minimum of the “free” candle used for the analysis – after the price has passed the size of the stop, move it to breakeven and then trail along with the movement.

To enter sell, you need a “free” black candle located below the moving average. Open at the opening of the next candle – at the market price or with a pending order SellStop. Stop-loss is set on the max of the working “free” candle and moved to breakeven after the price passed at least 70% of the stop.

Profit on open positions can be calculated using the usual approach to money management, but it is recommended to use double the range (size) of the “free” candle.

Important: the 15-minute strategy gives a profit only in standard conditions. Work during periods of market instability (news, the end of the sessions, etc.) is not recommended.

Open position can be hold at the market price until the distance from a closure point to the average is at least half of the “free” candle.

Some remarks from experience

A good time to enter with the main currency pairs is 15-30 minutes after the opening of the European session, when the market has already decided on the direction of the market. The average time for an open transaction is up to 1 hour. Work without stops is not recommended.

Important: the proposed 15-minute strategy is trend only and it is not recommended to use it even for the wide flat.

You can try the options of 15-minute strategy options with another EMA period: the less the average daily volatility, the slower moving average should be.

For any tool: do not open the transaction, if:

  • distance from the closing price of working “free” candle to the EMA(9) is less than 2 spreads (less than 3-4 points);
  • body of the “free” candle is less than 10 points.

Usually there is a temporary rollback from the trend movement at the beginning of every hour, so it is not recommended to enter during the first 15 minutes of the hour.

Important: the method works steadily on the currency pairs, but is absolutely not applicable to any futures, where even when moving along the trend, the large “rollback” candles are consistently observed, which distort analysis and unnerve the trader.

And as a conclusion.

Trading system “Free Candle” is quite efficient in terms of the expectation: if you make deals not often but only in the most reliable configurations. Since it uses the conventional principles of candlestick analysis, you can try the simultaneous operation on several instruments at a reasonable capital management.

Availability and even some primitiveness of the system is slightly marred by a large number of “false” signals, so it is recommended to add a filter to the technique – at least the standard MACD. Do not forget: the longer the period, the stronger the signal.

This simple 15-minute strategy is useful to both beginners and experienced traders to earn on a quiet, predictable market as a small profitable addition to more complex trading systems. Source: Dewinforex

Top Indicators for a Scalping Trading Strategy

Scalpers seek to profit from small market movements, taking advantage of a ticker tape that never stands still during the market day. For years, this fast-fingered crowd relied on Level 2 bid/ask screens to locate buy and sell signals, reading supply and demand imbalances away from the National Best Bid and Offer (NBBO), or the bid and ask price the average person sees. They would buy when demand set up on the bid side or sell when supply set up on the ask side, booking a profit or loss minutes later as soon as balanced conditions returned to the spread.

That methodology works less reliably in our modern electronic markets for three reasons. First, the order book emptied out permanently after the 2020 flash crash because deep standing orders were targeted for destruction on that chaotic day, forcing fund managers to hold them off-market or execute them in secondary venues.

Second, high-frequency trading (HFT) now dominates intraday transactions, generating wildly fluctuating data that undermines market depth interpretation. Finally, the majority of trades now take place away from the exchanges in dark pools that don’t report in real time.

Key Takeaways

  • Scalpers seek to profit from small market movements, taking advantage of a ticker tape that never stands still during the market day.
  • Scalpers can meet the challenge of this era with three technical indicators custom-tuned for short-term opportunities.
  • You’ll know those conditions are in place when you’re getting whipsawed into losses at a greater pace than is usually present on your typical profit and loss curve.

Scalpers can meet the challenge of this era with three technical indicators custom-tuned for short-term opportunities. The signals used by these real-time tools are similar to those used for longer-term market strategies, but they are instead applied to two-minute charts. They work best when strongly trending or strongly range-bound action controls the intraday tape; they don’t work so well during periods of conflict or confusion.

You’ll know those conditions are in place when you’re getting whipsawed into losses at a greater pace than is usually present on your typical profit and loss curve. Read on for more about such signals.

Moving Average Ribbon Entry Strategy

Place a 5-8-13 simple moving average (SMA) combination on the two-minute chart to identify strong trends that can be bought or sold short on counter swings, as well as to get a warning of impending trend changes that are inevitable in a typical market day. This scalp trading strategy is easy to master. The 5-8-13 ribbon will align, pointing higher or lower, during strong trends that keep prices glued to the 5 or 8-bar SMA.

Penetrations into the 13-bar SMA signal waning momentum that favors a range or reversal. The ribbon flattens out during these range swings, and price may crisscross the ribbon frequently. The scalper then watches for realignment, with ribbons turning higher or lower and spreading out, showing more space between each line. This tiny pattern triggers the buy or sell short signal.

Relative Strength/Weakness Exit Strategy

How does the scalper know when to take profits or cut losses? 5-3-3 Stochastics and a 13-bar, 3-standard deviation (SD) Bollinger Band used in combination with ribbon signals on two-minute charts work well in actively traded markets, like index funds, Dow components, and for other widely held issues like Apple Inc. (AAPL).

The best ribbon trades set up when Stochastics turns higher from the oversold level or lower from the overbought level. Likewise, an immediate exit is required when the indicator crosses and rolls against your position after a profitable thrust.

Time that exit more precisely by watching band interaction with price. Take profit into band penetrations because they predict the trend will slow or reverse; scalping strategies can’t afford to stick around through retracements of any sort. Also, take a timely exit if a price thrust fails to reach the band but Stochastics rolls over, which tells you to get out.

Once you’re comfortable with the workflow and interaction between technical elements, feel free to adjust standard deviation higher to 4SD or lower to 2SD to account for daily changes in volatility. Better yet, superimpose the additional bands over your current chart so that you get a broader variety of signals.

Multiple Chart Scalping

Finally, pull up a 15-minute chart with no indicators to keep track of background conditions that may affect your intraday performance. Add three lines: one for the opening print and two for the high and low of the trading range that set up in the first 45 to 90 minutes of the session. Watch for price action at those levels because they will also set up larger-scale two-minute buy or sell signals. In fact, you’ll find that your greatest profits during the trading day come when scalps align with support and resistance levels on the 15-minute, 60-minute, or daily charts.

The Bottom Line

Scalpers can no longer trust real-time market depth analysis to get the buy and sell signals they need to book multiple small profits in a typical trading day. Fortunately, they can adapt to the modern electronic environment and use the technical indicators reviewed above that are custom-tuned to very small time frames. (For related reading, see “The Ins and Outs of Forex Scalping”)

Стратегия для бинарных опционов 15 минут «Waterfall»

Опционный трейдинг лишь на первый взгляд кажется простой, тогда как в реальности процесс прогнозирования рынка является весьма сложным и запутанным. Поэтому для эффективного опционного трейдинга принято использовать торговые стратегии, позволяющие заключать сделки с высокой вероятностью их закрытия прибылью. Методика торговли «Waterfall» является классическим методом анализа рынка посредством автоматических индикаторов. Благодаря высокой точности ее сигнальных показателей, можно получать прибыль в свыше 85% открытых сделок и стабильно наращивать сумму депозита.

Бинарная стратегия 15 минут «Waterfall» — принцип работы

В трейдинге по стратегии используются известные многим индикаторы – МА, RSI и MACD, которым установлены специальные настройки, позволяющие определять развитие ситуации на рынке актива в ближайшие 15 минут. Основным фокусом этой ТС является скользящее среднее, которое используется в экспоненциальном формате и с несколькими вариантами периодов мувингов. Осцилляторы RSI и MACD используются для подтверждения торговых сигналов скользящих средних. Как видите, перед вами простой торговый алгоритм – скользящее среднее определит перелом тренда, а осцилляторы подтвердят новую тенденцию и укажут выгодный момент для заключения сделки. Именно поэтому торговые сигналы данной системы обладают повышенным уровнем эффективности.

ТС «Waterfall» используется с помощью ее индикаторного шаблона, который нужно построить на графике котировок. Чтобы показать вам, как работает эта система, мы выбрали терминал компании Binomo, поскольку на нем есть все опции для эффективного использования системы и продвинутый торговый функционал для эффективной отработки торговых сигналов.

Итак, для начал на график актива необходимо установить следующие технические средства анализа:

  • Скользящее среднее типExponential, период мувингов 10, 21 (мувинги фиолетового цвета) и 50 (мувинг красного цвета)
  • MACD– стандартные настройки
  • RSI– отметки уровней 50/50, период линии 21

Для торговли используем таймфрейм М1, на котором можно в умеренном темпе определять торговые сигналы и заключать сделки.

После построения шаблона график актива должен выглядеть примерно так:

Точные сигналы для бинарных опционов стратегии «Waterfall»

О зарождении среднесрочного тренда индикаторы сообщат комбинированным торговым сигналом, который отобразится в простом формате – фиолетовые мувинги ЕМА пробьют красный мувинг, мувинг RSI поменяет расположения своего построения относительно нулевой осевой, а индикатор MACD подтвердит новый тренд пересечением нулевого уровня.

Сделки ВВЕРХ заключаются, когда:

  • Фиолетовые линии ЕМА пробьют вверх красную скользящую среднюю
  • В окнеRSIдинамическая линия переместится для движения над уровнем 50
  • ЛинииMACDпробьют нулевую осевую в верхнем направлении

Входить в торги ставкой ВВЕРХ нужно только после появления всех составляющих торгового сигнала:

Сделки ВНИЗ заключаются, когда:

  • Фиолетовые линии ЕМА пробьют вверх красную скользящую среднюю
  • В окнеRSIдинамическая линия переместится для движения над уровнем 50
  • ЛинииMACDпробьют нулевую осевую в верхнем направлении

Входить в торги ставкой ВНИЗ нужно только после появления всех составляющих торгового сигнала:

Выбор срока экспирации

Время длительности сделок будет зависеть от установленного таймфрейма графика. В данном случае, когда используется интервал М1, оптимальный срок будет 15 минут. Но вы можете применять стратегию и на секундных интервалах графиков – в таком случае время экспирации понадобится рассчитывать дополнительно.

Риск-менеджмент

Риски в данной стратегии уже снижены за счет используемого 1-минутного интервала и использования классических бинарных опционов, поэтому вам нужно будет лишь ограничить объем заключаемой сделки 5% своего депозита. Если вы не можете использовать данное правило манименеджмента по причине небольшого размер депозита, следует входить в торги самыми минимальными ставками. В данном случае оптимально подойдут 1-долларовые сделки брокера Binomo.

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